26 complete design systems — geometry, depth, color, and density. Saved on this device.
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26 complete design systems — geometry, depth, color, and density. Saved on this device.
Light systems
Dark systems
The Database
Prediction Ledger
Track predictions and bets backed by the live database.
Open Predictions20
Resolved10
Credits at Stake0
Recent Bets0
Market Signals
Volume Tracker
What the system is tracking
Incoming news patterns feeding the market
These are grouped from the newest unresolved call clusters in the live database, so you can see where story momentum is building before you open the full market.
Geopolitics
watch by Jul 29
Ukrainian drone attacks on July 18, 2026, killed eight and wounded dozens across western Russia, hitting two Wildberries warehouses and an oil depot. Kyiv claims targets supplied sanctioned components for drones, escalating a campaign to disrupt Russian war efforts.
Lead market: The CEO or a primary executive tied to Ukrainian Drone Strikes Kill Eight, Injure Dozens in Russia; Target Logistics and Oil Infrastructure will publicly issue a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.
Base rate: WCW has historically released major reports within 2-3 weeks of congressional allies taking public action based on their findings (e.g., 2019 VA puppy research, 2021...
Why this could happen
This depends on: WCW possesses finalized report with cleared documents; Gosar's office coordinated with WCW on timing; No legal hold prevents document release
What could break it: WCW issues statement delaying release for additional verification; FOIA documents contain classified/sensitive information requiring agency review; Gosar's letter was sent without WCW coordination
How it will be judged: WCW website publishes full RML report with document appendices; Breitbart or allied outlets report on WCW report release; WCW announces report release via press release or social media
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY65%
Site callNational Financeimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to Sanders Frames Michigan Senate Primary as Battle Against 'Billionaire Class' Amidst High Spending will...
The current reporting already points to active movement around national finance, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY69%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to Russia Unleashes Massive Ballistic Missile Barrage on Kyiv Amid Escalating Conflict will publicly issue a...
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY60%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to US Escalates Strikes on Iran After Fatal Jordan Attack, Ceasefire Collapses will publicly issue a formal...
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY80%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to US and Iran Escalate Conflict Following Fatal Jordan Attack, Ceasefire Collapses will publicly issue a formal...
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY58%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to US-Iran conflict escalates with daily strikes and casualties, prompting mediation for a 10-day ceasefire.
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY71%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to US-Iran Conflict Escalates with Civilian Targets Hit as Diplomatic Efforts Falter will publicly issue a formal...
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY56%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to US-Iran Conflict Escalates Amidst Ceasefire Proposals and Mounting Casualties will publicly issue a formal...
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY67%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to Ukraine Launches Over 400 Drones in Massive Attack Near Moscow, Escalating Infrastructure War will publicly...
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY54%
Site callNational Financeimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to Paramount-Warner Bros.
The current reporting already points to active movement around national finance, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY67%
Site callOperationsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to New Air Force One Undergoes Urgent Security Upgrades Amid Concerns will publicly issue a formal statement or...
The current reporting already points to active movement around operations, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY62%
Site callGeopoliticsimmediate7 days left
Judge by Jul 29, 2026
The CEO or a primary executive tied to US Strikes Iran Amid Houthi Saudi Shipping Threat; Ceasefire Proposal Emerges will publicly issue a formal...
The current reporting already points to active movement around geopolitics, which historically forces executive-level intervention within a week.
Why this could happen
This depends on: The core facts in the current reporting remain materially intact.; Executives are feeling active pressure to respond.
What could break it: No executive issues a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.; The issue is successfully delegated to a PR firm or ignored entirely.
How it will be judged: A verified statement or policy update directly from a top executive is published within 7 days.
MODEL ESTIMATION
PROBABILITY65%
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The Database
Market wager
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#SHREDNEWZ #EvidenceFirst
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth disclosed the Iran war cost $37.5B, requesting $67.1B in emergency funds, sparking heated debate in Congress amid partisan blame.
Lead market: A major competing firm will announce a specific product delay or price hike linked to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth disclosed the Iran war cost $37.5B, requesting $67.1B in emergency funds, sparking within 30 days.
President Trump announced declassified intelligence revealing 200M compromised voter records by China and 278k non-citizens on rolls, pledging federal aid to states for election security ahead of November midterms.
Lead market: The CEO or a primary executive tied to Trump Administration Alleges Widespread Election Vulnerabilities and Non-Citizen Voter Registrations Ahead of Midterms will publicly issue a formal statement or policy change within 7 days.
Scientists have pinpointed solid-state battery failure causes, turning a major scientific hurdle into an engineering challenge, accelerating commercial EV deployment by 2027-2028.
Lead market: A major competing firm will announce a specific product delay or price hike linked to Solid-State Battery Breakthroughs Accelerate Commercial EV Deployment Timelines within 30 days.