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Corrections

Corrections

When we get it wrong, the record stays. Every correction is logged with the previous state, the corrected state, and the reasoning for the change.

Total Fixed
50
System Status
SECURE
โ€œTruth is an iterative process. Accountability is mandatory.โ€
OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATESep 10, 2026, 1:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

The specific Broadway theater for 'A True Original Musical' will be announced by July 14, 2026.

Corrected State

No official announcement of the specific Broadway theater was made by July 14, 2026.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 31, 2026, 10:45 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 2 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

No public reaction, denial, or clarification from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, or the producer was issued within the 2-day window.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 30, 2026, 4:45 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 2 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

No public reaction, denial, or clarification was issued by Luke Wilson or Kendall Yates within the 2-day window.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 9 days.

Corrected State

No verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification was reported within the 9-day window.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 22, 2026, 11:30 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 22, 2026, 9:45 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 30 days, the strongest open claim around RT by @RealAlexJones: RT by @RealAlexJones: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Trump is acting like a wartime president running purely on survival, and that's what makes him impossible to predict. Alex Jones calls the recent push for peace a "good start," but he's uneasy about how stable Trump's decision-making actually is right now. In his read, Trump is operating like a wartime president locked onto a single goal, survival, trying to walk what Jones calls a "narrow way" to keep everything from spiraling into global catastrophe. He says Trump now sees the Israeli leadership pushing him as "lunatics" and wants real distance from them. The worry? With factions still pressing hard for full-scale war, Jones warns that will either be narrowed, strengthened, or materially challenged by later reporting.

Corrected State
OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 22, 2026, 3:46 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 12:00 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 10:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 5:45 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

๐Ÿšจ PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST NOW: "I am honoring Theodore Roosevelt โ€” that's a man I have LONG admired. I don't admire too many people!" ๐Ÿคฃ "I'm back in North Dakota because I've won this state with the most votes in the HISTORY of the presidency!" ๐Ÿ”ฅ "And I have 2 teleprompters that aren't working, and HERE I STAND!" will trigger at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 7 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change
OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

๐Ÿšจ WOW! Somali Rep. Ilhan Omar is facing massive calls for a federal SUBPOENA after Minnesota fraudster Abdikerm Abdelahi Eidleh got arrested in MOGADISHU โ€” and he helped lead the very fraud scheme with an email chain involving "ILHAN'S OFFICE" Haul her into sworn testimony, make her turn over the documents, expel and DEPORT, NOW! "His name came up a lot during the trial of the now convicted ring leader of the scandal, Aimee Bock, and that trial also exposed multiple communications they had with Congresswoman Ilhan Omar's staff. For example, in February 2021, there was an email chain between Bock and Omar's office with the subject line help with USDA food programs, the same programs that wer will trigger at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 7 days.

Corrected State
OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

During the upcoming NATO summit, Donald Trump will publicly name specific NATO member states for failing to meet their 2% GDP defense spending commitments.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 21, 2026, 2:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 7:30 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 5:15 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

The IRGC will increase its military presence in the Strait of Hormuz within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 7 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

The new Florida voting district maps will face legal challenges that could delay their implementation.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

The court will rule on the continued detention of Cole Tomas Allen based on the new evidence presented by prosecutors within the next 30 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

French authorities will initiate a formal takedown of the 'Coco' platform within the next 30 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

The Israeli military will face increased scrutiny and potential backlash from international bodies regarding the recent strikes in Lebanon.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 7 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

The number of foreign nationals departing Mali will increase significantly in the next 30 days as a direct response to the travel advisories from France and the UK.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 7 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 20, 2026, 6:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

The Department of Defense will issue a more detailed statement regarding the Iranian school attack within the next 30 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 6:00 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 11:30 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 6:15 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 19, 2026, 5:00 AM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 18, 2026, 9:45 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 18, 2026, 9:01 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 18, 2026, 8:45 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

Within the next 4 days, the primary subjects of this story will issue a public reaction, denial, or further clarification.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 18, 2026, 8:30 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 18, 2026, 8:30 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 18, 2026, 8:15 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

OUTCOME_REVISION UPDATEJul 18, 2026, 7:45 PM
CONFIDENCE: 68%

Later events did not match one of the earlier expectations.

Previous State

This story will produce at least one verifiable follow-up, official response, or on-the-record clarification within the next 14 days.

Corrected State

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

The forecast horizon elapsed without a verified outcome, so the call is recorded as a miss.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.

Prediction expired: target date reached without verification.

Reasoning for change

A later outcome contradicted part of the expected path, so that part of the story now needs a clearer update.