What Happened
On August 31, 2026, leaders from China, Russia, and India convened in Bishkek for the annual Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was also present. The summit's final declaration, issued on September 1, advocated for the establishment of a new development bank, which Russian President Vladimir Putin described as having “maximum independence from the financial systems of the states which weaponize economic tools in order to obtain unilateral advantages in international affairs.” This gathering occurred just one week after the United States announced its latest package of sanctions against Iran. Despite Washington's efforts to isolate Tehran, Iran received a warm reception at the Bishkek summit, highlighting the challenges the US faces in enforcing international compliance with its sanctions regime. Concurrently, House Democratic leaders held remarks on September 1, addressing legislative priorities including the ongoing war with Iran and the impending government shutdown deadline of September 30.
The Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson, in response to Washington’s “with us or against us” ultimatum regarding the sanctions, stated that “China will do everything necessary to firmly safeguard its rights and interests.” This declaration underscores Beijing's resolve to resist external pressure on its bilateral trade relations. While Iranian President Pezeshkian attended the SCO summit, Chinese leadership did not hold a formal bilateral meeting with him, opting instead for formal consultations at the foreign minister level. This signals a deliberate strategy by Beijing to maintain a calibrated distance from Tehran, balancing its support with broader diplomatic objectives, including a
What the Evidence Establishes
Evidence establishes that China is the primary economic lifeline for Iran, purchasing approximately 90 percent of its oil exports. This substantial trade volume has been instrumental in sustaining the Iranian economy despite stringent US sanctions. Beijing employs a sophisticated network to evade these sanctions, utilizing “dark fleets” – ships specifically designed to obscure the Iranian origin of their cargo – and “teapot” refineries, which are smaller, private refining facilities. These methods allow China to continue its trade with Iran while minimizing direct exposure to US extraterritorial jurisdiction.
Furthermore, Chinese banks and companies engaged in business with Iran frequently conduct transactions exclusively in renminbi or through barter arrangements. This financial insulation renders them largely immune to US secondary sanctions, as they do not rely on the US dollar-denominated financial system. For the limited number of Chinese entities that still process transactions in US dollars, layers of shell companies are utilized. These shell entities can be quickly discarded and replaced at minimal cost, creating a regulatory challenge for Washington described as an “endless game of regulatory whack-a-mole.” China's demonstrated resilience through multiple trade disputes with the US indicates a high tolerance for economic pressure and a low tolerance for perceived coercion in its foreign trade policies.
Where the Accounts Conflict
The primary conflict arises between the United States' stated policy objective of isolating Iran through sanctions and China's active measures to circumvent these sanctions. Washington's
Context and Stakes
The ongoing defiance of US sanctions by China is set against a backdrop of complex US-China relations, which Beijing views as a priority. In May 2026, US President Donald Trump visited Beijing, where he and Chinese President Xi Jinping announced an agreement to build a “constructive China-US relationship of strategic stability.” This framework emphasizes cooperation, contained competition, and the avoidance of conflict. Xi is scheduled to visit Washington later this month, indicating continued high-level engagement despite points of contention like Iran. The US economy is currently experiencing strain due to the war with Iran, a factor that, combined with upcoming midterm elections, makes a direct economic confrontation with China less appealing for Washington.
For China, Iran's stability is crucial for its geopolitical and economic interests. Beijing fears that an Iranian defeat could lead to the entire Middle East gravitating back into the US orbit, undermining China's growing regional influence and complicating future cooperation on advanced technologies such as 5G, artificial intelligence, and defense. China sources 40 percent of its oil imports from the Gulf, with Iran accounting for 10 percent of that total. A US-dominated Middle East would place a significant portion of China's energy supply under potential US influence, posing a direct threat to its economic lifeline. Moreover, Beijing perceives a US victory in Iran as potentially emboldening Washington to pursue regime change in other countries with close ties to China, citing instances like Panama seizing Chinese-operated ports under US pressure. This broader context elevates China's actions beyond mere economic opportunism to a strategic imperative.
What to Watch Next
Observers should closely monitor the upcoming visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to Washington later this month. The discussions during this summit will provide critical insights into the trajectory of US-China relations, particularly regarding the extent to which the Iran issue is addressed and whether any new agreements or understandings emerge. Any public statements or joint communiqués concerning economic cooperation or regional stability will be key indicators of the
Bottom Line
China's continued circumvention of US sanctions on Iran is a calculated strategic decision, driven by deep-seated economic interests and broader geopolitical objectives rather than ideological alignment. Beijing's reliance on Iranian oil, coupled with its sophisticated methods of sanctions evasion, demonstrates a high tolerance for US economic pressure and a firm commitment to safeguarding its perceived national interests. While China maintains a
DECLASSIFIED SOURCE: Al Jazeera - News (via Real-time Signal Upgrade)
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